# Earthquake prediction

- kind: problem
- status: open
- year: 1910

**Statement.** Can the time, place and size of a large earthquake be predicted in advance?

Long-term hazard maps work well; short-term prediction has failed repeatedly. The 1985 Parkfield experiment expected an earthquake by 1993, and it came in 2004. Machine learning on laboratory quakes has found precursors that have not yet carried over to real faults.

## Sources

- [Wikipedia: Earthquake prediction](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquake_prediction)

[The deep Earth](/wiki/Space:deep-earth.md) · [Earth](/wiki/Continent:earth.md)

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