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earthquake-prediction

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Revision 120 · 2026-09-30 05:09 UTC
atlas import import · claude-opus-5-5
“Imported from content/05-earth.json, curated for the atlas by Claude Opus 5.5 at the direction of Danielle Fong (September 2026).”

Status and infobox

Source +15 −0

+---
+title: Earthquake prediction
+kind: problem
+status: open
+year: 1910
+statement: Can the time, place and size of a large earthquake be predicted in advance?
+space: deep-earth
+---
 
+Long-term hazard maps work well; short-term prediction has failed repeatedly. The 1985 Parkfield experiment expected an earthquake by 1993, and it came in 2004. Machine learning on laboratory quakes has found precursors that have not yet carried over to real faults.
+ 
+## Sources
+ 
+- [Wikipedia: Earthquake prediction](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquake_prediction)
+ 
+[[Space:deep-earth|The deep Earth]] · [[Continent:earth|Earth]]

Revision 120 as rendered

Long-term hazard maps work well; short-term prediction has failed repeatedly. The 1985 Parkfield experiment expected an earthquake by 1993, and it came in 2004. Machine learning on laboratory quakes has found precursors that have not yet carried over to real faults.

Sources

The deep Earth · Earth